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Prediction for CME (2015-10-22T03:12:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2015-10-22T03:12Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/9539/-1
CME Note: Relatively faint partial halo CME associated with long duration C4.5 flare from AR2434.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2015-10-24T18:26Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2015-10-24T15:59Z
Prediction Method: SPM2
Prediction Method Note:

SPM2 Input Parameters:
Date-time:   2015-10-22 03:12
Source Longtitude:+50
Source Latitude:  -10
Initial Shock Speed:  951 km/s
Background Solar Wind Speed:  400 km/s
Duration Time: 4.67 hours

Output results:The shock will arrive at the Earth at 2015-10-24 15:59:54
The transit time predicted is 60.80 hours!

Lead Time: 19.93 hour(s)
Difference: 2.45 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) on 2015-10-23T22:30Z

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